Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Doing Business 2012: Nepal Edition

Doing Business 2012: Nepal
DB rank 2011 110  
DB rank 2012 (out of 183 economies) 107
Improvement in ranking (position) 3
Topic ranking
Topics DB 2012 Rank DB 2011 Rank Change in Rank
Starting a Business 100 95 -5
Dealing with Construction Permits 140 161 21
Getting Electricity 99 102 3
Registering Property 24 23 -1
Getting Credit 67 64 -3
Protecting Investors 79 74 -5
Paying Taxes 86 90 4
Trading Across Borders 162 161 -1
Enforcing Contracts 137 137 No change
Resolving Insolvency 112 113 1
 
Starting a Business
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Procedures (number) 7 7 5
Time (days) 29 23 13
Cost (% of income per capita) 37.4 21.6 4.7
Paid-in Min. Capital (% of income per capita) 0 19.1 14.1
Dealing with Construction Permits
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Procedures (number) 13 16 14
Time (days) 222 222 152
Cost (% of income per capita) 753.3 980 54.1
Getting Electricity
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Procedures (number) 5 6 5
Time (days) 70 145 103
Cost (% of income per capita) 1,995.80 1,775.90 92.8
Registering Property
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Procedures (number) 3 6 5
Time (days) 5 103 31
Cost (% of property value) 5 7.3 4.4
Getting Credit
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Strength of legal rights index (0-10) 7 6 7
Depth of credit information index (0-6) 3 3 5
Public registry coverage (% of adults) 0 1.7 9.5
Private bureau coverage (% of adults) 0.3 5.8 63.9
Protecting Investors
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Extent of disclosure index (0-10) 6 5 6
Extent of director liability index (0-10) 1 4 5
Ease of shareholder suits index (0-10) 9 6 7
Strength of investor protection index (0-10) 5.3 5 6
Paying Taxes
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Payments (number per year) 34 28 13
Time (hours per year) 326 281 186
Profit tax (%) 17.2 18.6 15.4
Labor tax and contributions (%) 11.3 7.7 24
Other taxes (%) 3 18.2 3.2
Total tax rate (% profit) 31.5 44.4 42.7
Trading Across Borders
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Documents to export (number) 9 8 4
Time to export (days) 41 32 11
Cost to export (US$ per container) 1,960 1,590 1,032
Documents to import (number) 9 9 5
Time to import (days) 35 33 11
Cost to import (US$ per container) 2,095 1,768 1,085
Enforcing Contracts
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Time (days) 910 1,075 518
Cost (% of claim) 26.8 27.2 19.7
Procedures (number) 39 43 31
Resolving Insolvency
Indicator Nepal South Asia OECD
Time (years) 5 2.9 1.7
Cost (% of estate) 9 8 9
Recovery rate (cents on the dollar) 24.5 29 68.2

In terms of ease of doing business, Nepal ranked 107 out of 183 countries. Last year, Nepal’s ranking was 110 (non adjusted figure was 116). It is quite an improvement in terms of easing doing business in the country. Most of the push is contributed by making property registration easy, by enacting measures to protect investors and by improving enforcement of contracts.The Finance Act 2008 has reduced the fee for transferring a property from 6 percent to 4.5 percent of the property’s value.In 2011 Nepal improved oversight and monitoring in the court, speeding up the process for filing claims. This is the only reform enacted in terms of easing procedures to do business this year.

Here is how Nepal compares with the regional average:

  • Best regional performance in registering property -- ranked 24 overall (regional average is 123). In Nepal, you need 3 procedures, takes 5 days and costs 5% of property value to get a property registered. The corresponding figures for the region are 6, 103, and 7.3.

  • In terms of protecting investors, Nepal’s performance in the region was the best -- ease of shareholder suits index (0-10) is 9 (regional average is 6).

  • In terms of enforcing contracts, Nepal’s performance was the best in the region -- 39 procedures to enforce a contract (regional average is 43)

  • Lowest regional performance in cost of starting a business -- 37.4 % of income per capita (regional average is 21.6% of income per capita)

  • In the ten indicators, ranking climbed up in four of them (when compared to previous year): dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, paying taxes, and resolving insolvency.

More here

Saturday, October 29, 2011

The WTO and the Doha Round


The Doha Round of the World Trade Organization (WTO) negotiations has been ongoing for 10 years, and given political cycles in major countries, there is not much hope for a rapid conclusion. The topics on the table are important, and in principle there is enough substance for all countries to gain from an agreement, but, unfortunately, too much emphasis has been placed on gains through market access alone. The Doha Round is about much more than market access. Concluding the talks arguably requires greater recognition of the value of trade policy disciplines that will be part of any agreement. The WTO is not just a market access negotiating forum; it is also a multilateral umbrella through which governments can agree on rules of the game for other trade-related policies. Given the slow progress of the Round, greater emphasis could be put on leveraging existing WTO bodies to enhance the transparency of nontariff measures, address regulatory concerns that impede liberalization of trade in services, and launch a dialogue on domestic economic policies that can create negative spillover effects for trading partners.


More by Bernard Hoekman here. He emphasizes on three things:

  • leveraging existing WTO bodies to enhance the transparency of nontariff measures
  • addressing regulatory concerns that impede liberalization of trade in services,
  • launching a dialogue on domestic economic policies that can create negative spillover effects for trading partners

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Nepal-India Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement (BIPPA) simplified

It was published in Republica, October 26, 2011, p.7. It is about Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement (BIPPA), which was signed on October 21, 2011, between Nepal and India.


Nepal-India BIPPA simplified

There has been a lot of buzz about Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement (BIPPA), which was signed on October 21, 2011, between Nepal and India. While some political leaders have censured the government on grounds of it being “anti national”, others have shied away from appreciating the signing of the agreement by this administration despite supporting the idea of BIPPA itself. Rarely has the interest of general public been so intense on a bilateral economic issue and support of private sector so high than now. Before breaking Nepal-India BIPPA down to the simplest terms, let me at the outset argue that most of the remonstrations have been outright illogical, misinformed, and pitched to score political points.

What’s BIPPA?

BIPPA is a legal instrument that establishes specific rights and obligations to meet the primary purpose of protecting foreign investments against discriminatory measures (i.e. policy inconsistencies) by the host state. To ensure protection and promotion of investments, and to encourage capital flows along with the commitment to credible liberal economic policies, countries typically enter into investment protection agreements like BIPPA. In principle, it ensures reciprocal encouragement, promotion and protection of investments, thus enabling conditions conducive to increase investment by investors.

It guarantees rights of foreign investors, and ensures them fair and equitable treatment, security, and dispute resolution mechanism. The contracting parties are obliged to treat investments at least as favorably as they do to domestic and third party foreign investments. In case of nationalization or expropriation of investment, nondiscriminatory compensation is guaranteed. Generally, compensation is equal to the market value of the investment expropriated (plus interest at ‘fair and equitable’ rate) “immediately before the expropriation or before the impending expropriation becomes public knowledge”. Investors are allowed to freely transfer returns to investment. Dispute resolution could happen both at the level of investors and a contracting party or two governments, i.e. both at investor-to-state level or state-to-state level.

Nepal-India BIPPA

While Nepal has already signed BIPPA with six countries (including India), India has signed such agreement with 80 countries (as of May 2011), out of which 70 BIPPAs have already come into force and the remaining are in the process of being enforced. Nepal signed its first BIPPA with France on May 2, 1983. It was followed by agreements with Germany (October 20, 1986), the UK (March 2, 1993), Mauritius (August 3, 1999), Finland (February 3, 2009) and India. In South Asia, India has BIPPA with Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal.

While a majority of the issues in the agreement between Nepal and India are similar to other BIPPAs signed internationally, a few provisions and scope of definitions have created confusion and led to misinformed debate. According to the BIPPA, the investments should “not be subjected to nationalization, expropriation or any other measure having similar effects except for reasons of public purpose in accordance with the law, on a non-discriminatory basis and against fair and equitable compensation”. To avert confusion, it specifically defines what constitute indirect expropriation (having an equivalent effect to direct expropriation without formal transfer of title or outright seizure) and how it is determined (a case-by-case, fact-based inquiry considering a set of relevant factors outlined in the agreement). Furthermore, in case of losses because of war, armed conflict, emergency or insurrection or riots, Indian investors should be treated and compensated as we do to our own investors or to third party investors. This addresses the confusion regarding if we will have to compensate for events internal to firms such as labor strikes and supply-side issues such as increase in cost (or decrease in profits or increase in losses) resulting from load-shedding.

Regarding compensation, if investors deserve one, then it will be equivalent to the “fair market value of the investment expropriated, immediately before the expropriation or before the impending expropriation became public knowledge, whichever is the earlier”. The investors, based on the laws of the host country, can ask for review of compensation being offered. Additionally, while the interpretation of these provisions is subject to contention, it should be realized the scope of the definition of these issues apply equally to investments in both countries. It is not applicable to compensation claims made before the enforcement of the agreement, which means that some Indian companies like UTL and Dabur Nepal cannot claim compensation for losses already inflicted upon their business.

The Nepal-India BIPPA remains in force for ten years and will be automatically extended thereafter unless one of the countries intends to terminate it.

FDI and employment

The overarching objective of BIPPA is to increase FDI inflows. On this respect, latest studies show that investment protection agreements like BIPPA indeed have positive impact on FDI, especially when it flows to low income countries from relatively high income and high exporting countries. The impact is higher in countries with weak domestic institutions because investors feel relatively more confident investing in the country following investment protection agreements. Regarding employment, there is evidence that, on average, foreign investors pay relatively higher wages and employ more workers than domestic counterparts in certain sectors, particularly manufacturing. We have already seen this to hold true in our case as well.

That being said, just because we singed BIPPA with India does not mean investors will flock to Nepal. The BIPPA has definitely given more confidence to Indian investors on investment protection and have shielded them from losses due to arbitrary policy changes. However, BIPPA is not panacea for all industrial ills and a substitute for real policy reform domestically that could increase foreign and domestic investments. For investments to increase sizably, Nepal needs to address constraints such as lack of power supply, inadequate supply of infrastructures, labor disputes, rising cost of raw materials, policy inconsistencies, and high interest on credit to key sectors.

The major determinants of FDI are macroeconomic, policy and political stability; large and growing market size; and being in proximity of emerging countries with large market size so that goods could be exported there. While Nepal has large markets enveloping it and the BIPPA has guaranteed investment certainty to some extent at the policy level, it urgently needs to fix the others factors restraining investment. Nepal has a lot of work to do to increase FDI from the existing level of US$39 million, which is about one percent of gross fixed capital formation. FDI inflows (percent of gross fixed capital formation) to Bangladesh and India are about 3.7 percent and 4.5 percent respectively.

Misinformed debate

Most of the debate over BIPPA is based on misinformation and inaccurate comprehension of the scope and depth of the agreement. While the private sector has openly welcomed BIPPA, selfish political leaders are politicizing it to make themselves heard by hook or by crook. For instance, former Prime Minister Jhalanath Khanal rebuked the government for signing BIPPA, which he thinks is not in our national interest. He seems to be so lost in the dirty political game that he forgot what was mentioned in Economic Survey 2009/10 published by the Ministry of Finance during his tenure as PM. It stated that “a Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement is signed with India to promote Indian Investment in Nepal, while preparation is being made to continue such agreements with other countries as well” (see page 187). This shows how poor our leaders like Khanal’s are in understanding economic issues and also remembering what they officially endorsed while at the helm of power. Similarly, some influential leaders have been arguing that BIPPA is against the interest of our country and the workers. Their argument is that BIPPA will increase Indian dominance and erode rights of domestic workers.

These arguments are senseless, baseless and outright illogical. If BIPPA is against our national interest, then why did we not hear loud outcry of this level when Nepal signed BIPPA with other countries. Importantly, the self-centered leaders opposing BIPPA should explain how exactly Nepal was dominated and workers rights eroded by signing such agreement with five countries before it was done India. In our investment strapped economy, more investment is definitely a good thing and is in our national interest because it will lead to more jobs, revenue and potentially stimulate growth.

National interest

In whichever way the leaders might justify their claims, the fact is that all these illogical and inconsistent assertions against BIPPA are being raised to score political points, which at times are against our national economic interests of stimulating growth and generating more jobs and employment opportunities.

In a nutshell, BIPPA is in our national interest and might help increase FDI by enhancing foreign investors’ confidence on the Nepali economy. However, it cannot be a substitute for the badly needed policy reforms on improving overall investment climate.


Monday, October 24, 2011

Latest Nepalese opinion on growth, society, neighbors, and priorities

Pretty interesting findings coming out of a survey of public opinion (Insights South Asia- Nepal Survey- 2011) conducted between 16 July and 7 August 2011 by Gallup and South Asia Democratic Forum (SADF). A total of 1,000 randomly selected citizens aged 15 and older were interviewed face-to-face.

Here are the major findings:

Education is the most vital issue

  • A majority (58%) of Nepalese chose education as one of the most important issues (out of the eight issues listed).
  • Family was selected as one of the most important issues by 44% of respondents, while health and work were mentioned by, respectively, 37% and 31% of respondents. All other topics were selected as being the most important by considerably smaller shares: 11% for religion and spirituality, 10% for living conditions, 5% for the environment and 3% for law and order.
  • The likelihood to select education also increased with respondents’ level of education.
  • The older the respondents were, the more likely they were to value family and religion/spirituality.

India is the most popular destination

  • A third (33%) of Nepalese surveyed had friends or relatives living in another South Asian country (i.e. India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, the Maldives, Sri Lanka or Afghanistan).
  • Almost all of these respondents with friends or relatives in another country answered that these friends or relatives lived in India (95%).
  • Nearly half (48%) of Nepalese surveyed had at least once visited another South Asian country; virtually all of these respondents said they had visited India (97%).
  • More than 8 in 10 (84%) respondents said they had a rather positive opinion about their big neighbor (India).
  • About 4 in 10 respondents held a positive view about Bangladesh (44%), Sri Lanka (43%), Bhutan (40%) and the Maldives (39%). Pakistan and Afghanistan had the least positive ratings among South Asian countries, 33% and 26%, respectively.
  • Almost three-quarters held a favorable attitude towards China and the US (74% and 73%, respectively). Japan was the third most popular country among the foreign powers listed in the survey (65% viewed it positively). The results for the three European countries - Germany, France or the UK - showed that 44%-46% had a positive opinion about them.

Positive about SAARC

  • Following a short description of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), a majority of 57% confirmed having heard about the association.
  • Strikingly, almost all (98%) respondents who were aware of SAARC thought that Nepal's membership of the association was a good thing.
  • In the eyes of Nepalese, the two biggest obstacles to establishing a more intensive regional cooperation among the countries in South Asia were the arms race between India and Pakistan (60% saw this as an obstacle) and historic animosities (58%).
  • Respondents appeared to accept all benefits of regional cooperation (as listed in the survey) as being important: the proportion of "important" responses ranged from 75% for "better transport connections to neighboring countries" and "more respect for ethnic and cultural diversity when visiting neighboring countries" to 86% for "more job opportunities in this country" by at least three-quarters of respondents to 82% "cheaper imports" and 86% for "more job opportunities in this country".

Terrorism as the greatest threat

  • Terrorism was seen as the greatest threat to security in the South Asian region - 4 in 10 (40%) respondents ranked it number one from a list of six potential threats.
  • Crime was the second most frequently mentioned security threat (20%).
  • When asked which South Asian country posed the greatest danger to security in the region, Pakistan ranked number one (selected by 28%).

Economic condition

  • The largest proportion of respondents (41%) rated economic conditions in their country as poor, and a further 30% as only fair.
  • Just a handful of respondents said that economic conditions were excellent (3%) and roughly a fifth (19%) considered them as good.
  • A lack of political leadership and corruption were by far the most frequently mentioned factors preventing economic growth in Nepal.
  • Almost two-thirds (64%) of respondents who were dissatisfied with the current economic conditions in Nepal said that a lack of political leadership was one of the two most important factors that prevented economic conditions to become better. Similarly, slightly less than 6 in 10 (58%) of these respondents held corruption responsible for the current bad economic situation.
  • About one in five (21%) respondents thought that Nepal’s large population was one of the main factors negatively affecting economic conditions, followed by about one in seven (15%) respondents who mentioned crime and a lack of security and the same proportion who selected bad economic policies.
  • About a tenth (11%) of respondents identified Nepal’s poorly qualified population as one of two major problems; a lack of infrastructure and environmental problems were each selected by approximately 1 in 20 respondents (6% and 4%, respectively). Virtually nobody regarded trade restrictions as a major brake on economic progress.
  • A slim majority (54%) of Nepalese thought that their government was not doing enough to fight corruption, while 30% were satisfied with their government's efforts in this regard. A share of 16% did not answer this question.
  • Nepalese were more optimistic when answering the question about future economic developments; 45% of respondents felt that the economy in their country was getting better, compared to 35% who said it was getting worse. India was perceived as having the biggest impact on the Nepalese economy.
  • Respondents living in rural areas and villages not only more frequently rated economic conditions in their country as positive, they were also more likely to view the current development of Nepal’s economy positively. Large city dwellers gave a very negative estimate of Nepal’s current economic development: 48% said that economic conditions were deteriorating (vs. 33%-40% of respondents from villages, rural and suburban areas).

Living standards

  • About three-quarters (77%) of Nepalese had seen an improvement in their standard of living in the past five years.
  • About 1 in 10 (9%) reported that their family's standard of living had deteriorated and 14% felt it had stayed the same in the time frame. Furthermore, about 8 in 10 (79%) Nepalese said that their family's standard of living was getting better at the time of the survey, compared to 11% who said that it was getting worse.

Migration

  • More than two-thirds (69%) of Nepalese wanted to continue living in their country, while 31% would like to move temporarily or permanently to another country.
  • The United States was the most preferred destination (11% of all respondents), followed by India (6% of all respondents).
  • Looking at the socio-demographics of potential migrants, the survey found that the typical would-be migrant was male, young, lives in a large city and has enjoyed at least basic education. In Nepal, 38% of men (vs. 24% of women), 39% of large city dwellers (vs. 28%-31% or respondents from rural areas, villages or suburbs), 35% of the 15-24 year-olds (vs. 30% of 25-39 year-olds, 26% of 40-54 year-olds and 18% of those older than 54) and 40% of respondents with a university education (vs. 13%-21% of those without formal education and 33%-36% of those with primary or secondary/ higher secondary education) said they would like to move temporarily or permanently to another country.

Democracy

  • If Nepalese would be given a choice between a secular democracy or a Hindu democracy, the majority (63%) would prefer the latter, while a third (34%) would favor the former.

Loathing violence

  • A vast majority (81%) of Nepalese disagreed that the use of violence was an accepted means of re-solving conflicts in their country nowadays, compared to 10% of respondents who held an opposite view - i.e. that the use of violence was still accepted - and 9% who did not answer.

Friday, October 21, 2011

Latest poverty stats: Poverty declined to 25.16 percent in 2010-11 in Nepal

The preliminary report of the NLSS (2010-2011) made public by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) states that 25.16 percent of Nepalese population is below the poverty line fixed at 2,200 calorie consumption per day per person and access to essential non-food items.

Based on current market prices, a person needs to earn at least Rs 19,261 (Rs 11,929 for food items and Rs 7,332 for non-food items) every year to buy basic food calories. In 2003-2004 (NLSS II), a person would need 2144 basic food calories. In 1995-1996 (NLSS I), a person would require just 2124 basic food calories to escape the poverty line. Again, the consumption basket is changed in NLSS III. So, even for the same calorie intake people would be spending at varying rate, most likely they would be spending way more, which also means that poverty rate would not decline as fast as they should. Since the consumption basket in NLSS III was changed, the poverty figures cannot be compared with that of NLSS I and NSLL II. More on this in a minute. First, the main highlights of the report:

Overall poverty

  • Overall, 25.16 percent of Nepalese are below the poverty line. In rural areas, 27.43 percent people are below the poverty line. In urban areas, 15.46 percent of people are below the poverty line.
  • The poverty line for Nepal, in average 2010-11 prices, has been estimated at Rs. 19,261; the food poverty line is Rs. 11,929 and the non food poverty line Rs. 7,332.
  • Poverty gap is 5.43 percent and poverty gap squared is 1.81 percent respectively.
  • In Kathmandu, a person needs to earn Rs 40,933 per year for buying basic food calories and essential non-food items. And, a person spends Rs 26,323 for non-food items as against Rs 15,610 for basic food calories in Kathmandu.

Regional poverty

  • There is high variation in poverty rates amongst the 12 analytical domains. urban Hill is the least poor region with a poverty incidence of 9 percent.
  • Within urban areas, poverty ranges from 9 percent in urban Hills to 22 percent in urban Terai. Within rural hills, poverty ranges from 16 percent in Eastern region to 37 percent in Mid and Far Western region.
  • Within rural Terai, poverty ranges from 21 percent in Eastern region to 31 percent in Mid and Far Western region. Within each of the development region except the Eastern, hills have higher poverty rates than Terai.

Seasonal poverty

  • The poverty rates are highest in April-May coinciding with the food scarce months. Poverty declines gradually till July and again spikes in September. Poverty falls sharply between September and November. Poverty is lowest around November 1 and the timing coincides with the festivals of Dashain and Tihar.

Poverty and household size

  • Poverty incidence increases monotonically with household size. The poverty rate is the lowest for one-person households (3 percent), increases drastically to 7 percent for two-person households and reaches the maximum (38 percent) for households having 7 or more members. The depth and severity of the poverty also increase with household size, reaching up to 9 percent and 3 percent respectively for the households that have 7 or more members.
  • Poverty increases with number of kids that are under 7. Female headed households have slightly lower poverty rates. Poverty rate is lowest at 12 percent for household with no child under 7, but increases to 47 percent for households with 3 or more children under 7.

Poverty, women and Dalits

  • Poverty rates are slightly higher for households headed by males between 26 and 45 years of age and slightly lower of households headed by female.
  • The percentage of poor among Dalitsis 42 percent compared to 23 percent for the Non-Dalits.

Poverty and education

  • Poverty is substantially lower for higher levels of head’s education. Households with an illiterate head are more than 4.5 times more likely to be poor than households with a head that has completed 11 or higher. Similarly households that have at least a women who completed primary education are much less likely to be poor than households in which the most educated female has lower than primary education.
  • Households headed by agricultural wage workers are poorest while those headed by professional wage-workers are the least poor.

Poverty, landholding, and access to services

  • Poverty rate falls, both in rural and urban areas, with increase in the size of arable land. In rural areas, households with more than 1 hectare of agricultural land have lower than average poverty rates. In urban areas, reduction in poverty appears even with smaller landholdings.
  • Households that are closer to facilities are less likely to be poor than the national average. Having good access to higher secondary school, public hospital, paved roads, market centers, agricultural center, cooperative and banks have large effects on poverty.

Inequality

  • The Gini-coefficient declined to 0.3294 from 0.414 in NLSS II.
  • Inequality in rural and urban areas is 0.31 and 0.3529 respectively. The corresponding figures in NLSS II were 0.349 and 0.436.

I wonder why they did not have both rural and urban figures for the analytical domains. For instance, if you have figures for Urban-Hill, then it would be better to have figure for Rural-Hill as well. It makes comparison easier. The report has figures for 12 analytical domains.

Earlier, it was reported that poverty declined to 13 percent. This caused quite a stir, with analysts questioning the role of government and donors in helping to reduce poverty (as much of it was attributed to remittances). Specifically, the question was: What did the government and donors do to help reduce poverty if all the astounding gains are due to remittances? They were in the defensive and were struggling to find an explanation (remittances mostly but also due to access to roads, education and health services, they finally said). With NLSS III, they have arrived at 25.16 percent figure by changing the consumption basket (eating more items like fruits, meat, fish, egg and rice). It also means that the figures from NLSS II are not wholly comparable with that of the NLSS III. You can play with statistics and provide multiple deductions from the same data! With the new figure arrived by changing consumption basket (or like they say consumption aggregates), the poverty rate is still high, which means people will be questioning less about the role of government and donor funded poverty-related initiatives (and also the role of remittances). The narrative could be that poverty headcount ratio drastically declined since 1995-96 (to the tune of about 30 percentage point), but it is still high and rigid. [Specifically, about consumption stuff, NLSS III adds one component that asks households their consumption in “last 7 days” (along with consumption during the “typical month” for each of the 72 food items as in previous surveys)].

If you want to make a valid comparison of poverty over time then you need comparable consumption aggregates (similarly constructed and that they are converted to constant prices using price deflator relevant to the poor).  So, the earlier media story by Prem Khanal that poverty declined by 13 percent still holds true. In the figure below, the red line reflects change in poverty over time using the 1995-96 poverty line whereas the blue line reflects change based no the “new” poverty line.The dotted lines in the figure below represent the alternative estimate based on such valid comparisons.

Thursday, October 20, 2011

Doing Business 2012: South Asia and Nepal edition

The latest Doing Business 2012: Doing Business in a More Transparent World report lists Singapore as the top economy to do business, followed by Hong Kong SAR, China; New Zealand; the United States; and Denmark. The report ranks economies based on performance in ten indicators: starting a business, dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts, and resolving insolvency. 

The report’s data cover regulations measured from June 2010 through May 2011 in 183 economies.This year rankings on ease of doing business have expanded to include indicators on getting electricity.The report finds that getting an electrical connection is most efficient in Iceland; Germany; Taiwan, China; Hong Kong SAR, China; and Singapore.

The Republic of Korea was a new entrant to the top 10. The 12 economies that have improved the ease of doing business the most across several areas of regulation as measured by the report are Morocco, Moldova, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, São Tomé and Príncipe, Latvia, Cape Verde, Sierra Leone, Burundi, the Solomon Islands, the Republic of Korea, Armenia, and Colombia. Two-thirds are low- or lower-middle-income economies.

The report shows that governments in 125 out of 183 economies implemented a total of 245 business regulatory reforms—13 percent more reforms than in the previous year. In Sub-Saharan Africa, a record 36 out of 46 economies improved business regulations this year. Over the past six years, 163 economies have made their regulatory environment more business-friendly. China, India, and the Russian Federation are among the 30 economies that improved the most over time.


South Asia

  • In South Asia, Maldives ranked 79, followed by Sri Lanka (89), Pakistan (105), Nepal (107), Bangladesh (122), India (132), Bhutan (142) and Afghanistan (160). The regional average (in rank) is 117.
  • Sri Lanka implemented the most reforms of any of the eight economies in South Asia, helping to create a better environment for entrepreneurs.
  • Sri Lanka rose nine places in the global ranking to 89, partly by strengthening investor protections and reducing taxes on business. India, the region’s second top performer in the global survey, climbed seven places to 132. Recently implemented mandatory electronic filing and payment for value-added tax made paying taxes easier for Indian firms.
  • Bhutan, rising four places to 142, recently launched a public credit registry and streamlined business start-up while Afghanistan, ranked 160, made it easier for local businesses to get an electrical connection.
  • Over the past six years, all eight economies in South Asia have made their regulatory environment more business-friendly.

Nepal

In terms of ease of doing business, Nepal ranked 107 out of 183 countries. Last year, Nepal’s ranking was 110 (non adjusted figure was 116). It is quite an improvement in terms of easing doing business in the country. Most of the push is contributed by making property registration easy, by enacting measures to protect investors and by improving enforcement of contracts.The Finance Act 2008 has reduced the fee for transferring a property from 6 percent to 4.5 percent of the property’s value.In 2011 Nepal improved oversight and monitoring in the court, speeding up the process for filing claims. This is the only reform enacted in terms of easing procedures to do business this year.

Here is how Nepal compares with the regional average:

  • Best regional performance in registering property -- ranked 24 overall (regional average is 123). In Nepal, you need 3 procedures, takes 5 days and costs 5% of property value to get a property registered. The corresponding figures for the region are 6, 103, and 7.3.
  • In terms of protecting investors, Nepal’s performance in the region was the best -- ease of shareholder suits index (0-10) is 9 (regional average is 6).
  • In terms of enforcing contracts, Nepal’s performance was the best in the region -- 39 procedures to enforce a contract (regional average is 43)
  • Lowest regional performance in cost of starting a business -- 37.4 % of income per capita (regional average is 21.6% of income per capita)
  • In the ten indicators, ranking climbed up in four of them (when compared to previous year): dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, paying taxes, and resolving insolvency.
Doing Business 2012: Nepal
DB rank 2011 110  
DB rank 2012 107
Improvement in ranking (position) 3
Topic ranking
Topics DB 2012 Rank DB 2011 Rank Change in Rank
Starting a Business 100 95 -5
Dealing with Construction Permits 140 161 21
Getting Electricity 99 102 3
Registering Property 24 23 -1
Getting Credit 67 64 -3
Protecting Investors 79 74 -5
Paying Taxes 86 90 4
Trading Across Borders 162 161 -1
Enforcing Contracts 137 137 No change
Resolving Insolvency 112 113 1

[All Doing Business 2011 rankings have been recalculated to reflect changes to the methodology. For paying taxes, economies that have total tax rates below 32.5% in Doing Business 2012 are assigned a total tax rate of 32.5% for the purpose of calculating the rankings. For Doing Business 2011, the total tax rate is 32.7%.]