According to a press note by National Planning Commission, the government is aiming to graduate Nepal from LDC category (to a developing country status) by FY2022 with per capita income of USD 1,400 and a middle-income country by FY2030 (according to WB classification, Nepal is now in the lower middle-income country category). In FY2019, which is considered as base year for the long-term vision, per capita income was USD 1,047.
Furthermore, by FY2044, the national goal is to achieve a high-income country category with per capital income of USD 12,100. To be fair, these are actually adapted from long-term development vision published by the government in 2018. They are also in the recently published the 15th Five Year Plan (FY2020-FY2024).
Three phases of long-term economic development vision (Prosperous Nepal, Happy Nepali) are:
- Generating prosperity and happiness (15th five-year plan, FY2020-FY2024), which aim to create the foundation of prosperity and happiness through economic, social and physical infrastructures to accelerate economic growth.
- Accelerating prosperity and happiness, and achieving SDGs (16th and 17th five-year plan), which aim to rapidly achieve the indicators of prosperity and happiness. By the end of 17th five-year plan (FY2034) Nepal will have graduated to a middle-income country with a goal to high-income status.
- Sustaining prosperity and happiness (18th and 19th five-year plan), which aim to achieve sustainability by maintaining balance between prosperity and happiness. Social justice and double-digit economic growth on average are to be achieved during this period. By the end of this phase (FY2044), the economy will be self-reliant, independent, and prosperous.
It outlines 10 national goals and 76 indicators for long-term economic development vision. It also identifies 8 strategic national strategies, 9 drivers of economic transformation, and 8 enablers.
The ten long-term national goals are:
- Accessible and modern infrastructure and connectivity
- Development and full utilization of human capital potential
- High and sustainable production and productivity
- High and equitable national income
- Well-being and decent standard of living
- Safe, civilized and just society
- Healthy and balanced ecology
- Good governance
- Comprehensive democracy
- National unity, security and dignity
The eight long-term national strategies are:
- Achieve rapid, sustainable and employment-oriented economic growth
- Ensure affordable and quality health care and education
- Develop internal and international interconnectivity and sustainable cities/settlements
- Increase production and productivity
- Provide a comprehensive, sustainable and productive social security and protection
- Build a just society characterized by poverty alleviation and socio-economic equality
- Conserve and utilize natural resources and improve resilience
- Strengthen public services, enhance balanced provincial development, and promote national unity
The nine drivers of economic transformation are:
- High-quality and integrated transport system, information technology and communication infrastructure, and massive networking
- Quality human capital and entrepreneurial work culture and full utilization of potential
- Hydroelectricity production and promotion of green economy
- Increase in production, productivity, and competitiveness
- Development and expansion of quality tourism services
- Modern, sustainable and systematic urbanization, housing and settlement development
- Development and strengthening of the provincial and local economy and expansion of the formal sector
- Guaranteed social protection and social security
- Governance reform and good governance
The eight enablers that will provide support for the realization of drivers of economic transformation are:
- Political commitment to the constitution, democracy, and development
- Demographic dividends and civic awareness
- Geographic location as well as natural diversity and abundance of natural resources
- Socio-cultural diversity and unique identity
- Social capital and Nepali diaspora spread around the world
- Clean and renewable energy
- Goodwill of friendly nations and the international community
- Federal governance and fiscal federalism
- Average annual GDP growth: 10.5%
- Per capita income: USD 12,100
- Population under absolute poverty line: 0 (or below 1%)
- Population in MPI: 3%
- Gini coefficient based on property: 0.25
- Ratio of richest 10% and poorest 10% population (Palma ratio): 1.1
- LFPR (15+ years): 72%
- Share of formal sector employment: 70%
- Electricity generation (installed capacity): 40,000 MW
- Households with access to electricity: 100%
- Per capita electricity consumption: 3,500 kilowatt-hours
- Households with access to motor transport within 30 minutes of travel: 99%
- National and provincial highways (black topped up to two lanes): 33,000 kms
- National highways (>two lanes and fast tracks): 3,000 kms
- Railroads: 2,200 kms
- Population with access to internet: 100%
- Life expectancy at birth: 80 years
- Maternal mortality (per 100,000 live births): 20
- Child mortality rate (per 1000 live births): 8
- Underweight children: 2%
- Literacy rate (15+ years): 99%
- Net enrolment rate at secondary level (9-12): 95%
- Gross enrolment rate at higher education: 40%
- Population with access to improved drinking water: 96%
- Population covered by basic social security: 100%
- Gender development index: 0.99
- Human development index: 0.760